Why a global recession is unlikely | interest.co.nz

Koichi Hamada explains why consensus predictions of a worldwide economic downturn this year have not weathered well
Koichi Hamada explains why consensus predictions of a worldwide economic downturn this year have not weathered well Keep Reading
The investment world can be an expensive place in which to find yourself, Sheryl Sutherland says, arguing the focus should be on the psychology of investor success Keep Reading
Best-selling author stresses our reliance on semiconductors. Keep Reading
The New Zealand Tax Podcast – The Generic Tax Policy Process: consultation or lobbying? Finding a permanent solution to funding managed retreat. When social media influencers go bad Keep Reading
The price of hedging China risk on world markets hasn’t fluttered during the past couple of weeks, which means that investors with real money on the line and speculators looking for a score aren’t … Keep Reading
Commerce Commission's preliminary issues paper for its banking market study suggests evolutionary rather than revolutionary change Keep Reading
Former US Treasury secretary Larry Summers is right about an inflation threat he says is still plaguing the world economy. But his most recent warning is only half the story. The half on which Summers is focused – the US Federal Reserve – is indeed an important part of the equation, given the vital role that inflation expectations play in investment trends and corporate pricing power where Fed chairman Jerome Powell’s policies are concerned Keep Reading
OPINION: Savers should be locking in longer-term fixed-rate deposits. I don’t mean in leisurely fashion either. I mean now. Keep Reading
Olsen said China hasn't been able to crank up its economic motor at a particularly fast rate. Keep Reading
After a recent meeting between US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and officials in Beijing, China released a statement demanding “practical action” over the issue of sanctions. The implication was … Keep Reading
Ross Stitt takes a look at why the outlook for Australian CBD office property is challenging Keep Reading
TOKYO - The investment world has seen no bigger widow-maker trade this last decade than shorting the US dollar. Yet recent volatility in the reserve currency has punters once again asking whether the great dollar reckoning is finally afoot? No one knows, of course. The dollar’s sudden and sharp drop in recent days, though, has the whiff of exactly the sort of foreign-exchange shock for which markets have been bracing. Keep Reading
Inflation is falling, but it may be too early for homeowners to pop the champagne corks, according to economists and property experts. Consumer price index [CPI] inflation figures for April to June released yesterday show that annual inflation has fallen to 6%. That’s down from 7.3% at the peak last year. Keep Reading
Why Russia pulled out of its grain deal with Ukraine, and what that means for the global food system Keep Reading
As economists fret about whether we face a big or a small global recession, and whether we’ll face it sooner or later, it is worth bearing in mind that trade is already showing signs of deep stress. Risk appetite towards emerging economies might be shaken as a result. Keep Reading
The Reserve Bank has called a halt to interest rate rises. But pre-GFC pauses were followed by renewed increases. Keep Reading
David Hargreaves examines the coming week's Reserve Bank Official Cash Rate review and highlights the wild ride we've been on for the past two years that has seen the OCR hiked on 12 consecutive occasions Keep Reading
As Janet Yellen kicks China’s economic tires in Beijing this week, she may be surprised by how often the attention is veering toward neighboring Japan. It just so happens that Yellen’s first China trip as US Treasury secretary coincides with intense debate about Asia’s biggest economy experiencing a Japan-like “balance sheet recession,” one that, if true, will be devilishly hard to reverse. The reference here is to economist Richard Koo’s oft-cited observation about why Japan plunged into deflation and stagnation in the 1990s. Specifically, this is when economic insecurity prods a critical mass of households and companies to prioritize boosting savings and paying down debt over consuming and investing. Keep Reading
How are NZ savers faring as Aussie consumer group lobbies for banks to be forced to pay savers the best savings account rate they offer? Keep Reading
OPINION: For many, times are tough. Now, more than ever, it's important we maximise our money to get the most value out of it. Keep Reading
Many investors couldn’t help but suspect Premier Li Qiang had lost the plot when he declared that China will easily reach his government’s 5% economic growth target for 2023. “From what we see this… Keep Reading
Collected articles from the world of investment, insurance, capital markets and financial services. Keep Reading
Here are some simple tricks that will help you test what’s acceptable to sellers., All things property, under OneRoof Keep Reading
OPINION: With some simple steps, you can boost your results and take more control over your future. Keep Reading
From Oppenheimer to Milton Friedman: How the Cold War battle of economic ideas shaped our world Keep Reading
Collected articles from the world of investment, insurance, capital markets and financial services. Keep Reading